The Tennis Final at the Olympic Games, Paris 2024 , features Novak Djokovic and Carlos Alcaraz, the 2nd and 3rd places in the world ranking, but also the last winners of the Grand Slam from Roland Garros, Djokovic 2023, Alcaraz 2024. The match is balanced and the odds are unbalanced.
The last match between the two took place on the grass at Wimbledon where Alcaraz prevailed in three sets: 6-2, 6-2, 7-6. The last match on clay between the two took place right in Paris, at Roland Garros 2023, where Djokovic prevailed: 6-3, 5-7, 6-1, 6-1.
Odds: 3.25 Djokovic vs 1.35 Alcaraz. Estimated chances offered by the odds: 30.4% Djokovic vs 74% Alcaraz.
Recommendation: Djokovic has a real chance in our opinion of at least 45% to win, corresponding to odds of 2.22. We consider that Djokovic is underetimated here by much, so we pick this value bet: Djokovic to win the final 3.25